Research & writing

Markets, technology, and the economics of change.

Independent working papers and academic research spanning applied economics, finance, artificial intelligence, sports, and digital platforms.

6 papers2024–2026PDF archive
06
September 2026Independent working paper

From SaaS to Agent-as-a-Service

A production-theory model of AI-native business models in which firms sell task execution and outcomes rather than access to software.

AI agentsSoftware economicsProduction theory
05
July 2026Independent working paper

Beyond Markowitz: Can Network Theory Improve Portfolio Diversification?

A correlation-network and mean-variance experiment comparing traditional portfolio rules with a network-peripheral allocation strategy.

Portfolio optimizationNetwork theoryFinancial econometrics
04
March 2026Data through 22 March 2026Independent working paper

Is Old Trafford Still a Fortress?

A fixed-effects study of Manchester United’s home advantage across Premier League eras, with an exploratory Bruno Fernandes creativity layer.

Sports economicsPanel dataFootball analytics
03
October 2025Information cutoff: 31 October 2025Independent working paper

Can AI Companies Justify Their Valuations?

A point-in-time valuation framework built around revenue durability, compute-adjusted margins, and the payback on AI infrastructure investment.

AI valuationCompute economicsCorporate finance
02
June 2025Pre-tournament analysisIndependent working paper

Can the World Cup Move Mexico City’s Economy?

An event-month study using Formula 1 and NFL evidence to estimate how major sports events affect Mexico City’s hotel and tourism market.

Urban economicsTourismEconometrics
01
December 2024Bachelor’s thesisITAM

Telework in Mexico: Estimating an Index and Its Economic Impact

A quarterly state-level telework capacity index for Mexico and an econometric analysis of its relationship with growth, productivity, labor poverty, and inequality.

Labor economicsMexicoPanel econometrics
Working papers are independent research and may be revised. The finance-related papers are analytical research, not investment recommendations.